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October 27, 2022 by Logistics

If I were making decisions regarding my Company’s Logistics functions and my Supply Chain, what would I do now?

The current logistics environment and the status of the Supply Chain are very confusing right now….for everyone. One minute capacity to move shipments is scarce and expensive, the next moment its loose (available) and less expensive. Container rates are thru the roof, then they’re not. Warehousing space is unobtainable, a lot more expensive, and the options are fewer and far between.

Let’s first look at some of the key drivers affecting the Supply Chain and the Logistics community.

  1. Cost of Capital

When money gets more expensive and harder to get investment goes down. This means carriers begin to extend their equipment life cycles, cut back on new equipment investment, and generally hold off on growth plans. The net-net of this is that your access to capacity, warehousing and such becomes harder and more expensive.

  1. Labor Resources

Logistics as an industry is a touch and feel type of environment. Most of Logistics Labor  consists of drivers and warehouse workers and both must be physically on the job to perform their work. In addition, even pre-pandemic, both were in short supply. Now that demand for these roles has increased back to pre-pandemic levels, they are still a scarce resource. This translates in two ways. First it causes upward pressure on labor rates to keep workers from leaving. Second, it puts downward pressure on Logistics Providers ability to grow their operations to meet demand.

  1. Inventory Levels

Due to the pandemic, increases in demand and the length of the supply cycle inventory levels were increased dramatically. All the inventory had to go somewhere so it sucked up available warehouse space, containers, and trailers. Turns out the demand for goods tapered faster than anticipated and now inventories are too high and sitting too long. This means that space is at a premium, containers and trailers used to store product are not achieving good utilization rates and combined, these factors raise costs and lower service levels throughout the supply chain.

To encapsulate the main two sides of the equation, Supply is too few and Demand is too high. The Supply Chain functions most effectively when these two factors are closely balanced. Conversely. If they get out of balance,  life in the Supply Chain is “difficult”. Like the last 2 years.

What I would do if I were you…run and hide. No, seriously I’d wait it out. I’d use the information I have at hand to build a plan on what you want to achieve with your supply chain and how you think that can be accomplished. The market is in transition right now. Rates are moderating, truck capacity is loosening, international volumes are dropping as are international container rates. However, a potential railroad strike is looming which could at the very least result in rail delays, which in turn become truck and container delays.

Now let’s talk about relationships. As a 3PL we (Riverside Logistics) get to see and interact with a lot of different supply chains handling a lot of different products and running on different criteria for execution. This means we have a pretty good thumb on the pulse of the supply chain. The overall Supply Chain can swing one way or the other, dramatically, and quickly. You must be nimble and have options available to you to handle these machinations. One very capable way to prepare for Supply Chain shock is to partner with a 3PL and to build a relationship of trust with that 3PL. When you do that, you get the benefit of their expertise as well as insight into the logistics markets. This can be a powerful tool for you to use when competing in the marketplace. 3PL’s usually have access to a substantial portfolio of carriers and modes. They know how and when to use them to execute competitively. That’s their business. They also in many cases have knowledge and capability in the warehousing space. They can tell you what market occupancy rates are like in the markets they play in and can help you find and manage space that meets your needs in the markets they serve.

So, lets recap. Right now, there are a substantial number of headwinds and tailwinds impacting the Supply Chain. To sort them all out will take some time. It behooves a company to sit back and let the leaves fall out of the trees a little more so you can see what’s coming next. It is also a good idea to try and build a strong working relationship with a 3PL to let them assist you by applying their expertise in the logistics markets.

It’s a little scary in the supply chain right now. If you try and “Time The Market” you’ll probably fail. Just like with the stock market, timing is not a good idea. Taking a long view is a better strategy and one that should pay dividends in the long run. Hope this advice helps set you on a path that provides your company with a good competitive posture in todays supply chain.

 

Filed Under: Supply Chain, Third-Party Logistics (3PL) Tagged With: 3pl, Cost of Capital, Freight Cost, Inventory Levels, Labor, Logistic Decisions, Near Richmond Marine Terminal, Near the Virginia Ports, Richmond, Riverside Logistics, Third Party Logistics, Transportation Solutions, VA, Virginia, Warehouse Space

November 23, 2020 by Logistics

LTL carriers struggle to move freight

Between the effects and protocols related to Covid-19 and the overall lack of capacity in the trucking market, the carriers are struggling to pick up, move and deliver freight. Over the last 6 weeks we have seen an escalation of this problem, with every week growing successively worse. Now, LTL carriers are either selectively quoting volume moves or have abandoned volume quotes altogether. They are doing this in the “short term” because their pipelines are over capacity and they simply cannot handle any more freight.

So, what does “short term” mean? Could be a couple of weeks, a couple of months, or possibly even longer. This current situation of tight capacity has come about, it appears, due to several factors that have all combined at the same time to exacerbate the situation.

Covid 19 caused a lot of carriers to retire early, furlough and or layoff drivers, not knowing how severe or how long the lockdowns would last. This drained some immediate driver capacity, which is hard to replace in a short amount of time when staffing needs now require more (new) personnel. Shutting down then re-igniting the driver recruitment process takes time. Probably a full quarter or more. In addition, when a terminal in the LTL network has a Covid case or two, or three, or a relative of the workers is in contact with Covid infected individuals, based on protocols, it takes those people out of circulation for at least 2 weeks. This too, strains the labor force and makes it that much harder to operate a terminal and a network. Some carriers have had to embargo certain nodes in their networks to play “catch-up”. When these embargoes (they do not call them that but that is what they amount to) happen, it effectively shuts off the flow of freight in and out of region for a period of time. This has the net effect of straining the capacity of other carriers operating in the same area and or delaying or stopping freight from moving as it normally would. The net impact is more stress on the supply chain.

When the network gets backed up, these backups tend to cascade down thru the various modes of transport. When intermodal rail backs up, then over-the-road trucking backs up, then LTL backs up. Costs rise, sometimes precipitously, and service levels usually go the other way and fall off. The infra-structure simply cannot handle the volume and delays happen. LTL carriers not only pickup and deliver freight they also “line-haul” it. With driver recruitment on hold, carriers are going outside their own networks and “brokering” trucks to handle the line hauls between nodes. Naturally, this takes brokered capacity out of the system, thus making it harder for pure brokers to find trucks to fill clients needs. You can see from this example, that it becomes a “Domino Effect”, where changes in one mode affect others and so on and so on. Everybody pays with lower service levels and higher costs.

The net effect right now is that freight costs are going up in the short term until the capacity equation (supply and demand) returns to an acceptable level. Service levels, which equate to days in transit are also going to lengthen in the short term. Shippers are not going to react favorably to this environment. Budgets will be broken, customer service will degrade, and the norms for conducting business will be altered. All of these “effects” will hopefully last only for a short period of time rather than an extended period. So back to the question ‘ how long will it last”? Good question, which unfortunately has no good answers to go with it. The market will eventually return to some semblance of “normal”, it always does.

The big question is how long it will take to get there and what can a Third-Party Logistics (3PL) do to help? A 3PL normally has multiple client-related contracts with multiple carriers. They (3PL’s) usually can flex modes up or down across multiple partners, to get you, the client, the best mix of desired service levels and cost. Riverside deals with many clients and uses many carriers. This means we have a lot of experience determining who does what better than the other guy. In a pinch, we have very close and effective working relationships with the carriers and can usually make thing happen, when a client can’t. So the bottom line is that Riverside can provide “workable” options to a client to help them navigate the current freight environment and provide a service and cost equation that meets their needs.

Filed Under: News & Events, Transportation News Tagged With: LTL Carriers, Near the Richmond Port, Port of Norfolk, Richmond, Supply chain Solutions, TIA Certified Transportation Broker, Transportation Solutions, VA, Virginia

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